5 Jun 2008

Trading Day

The Bank of England announces its decision on interest rates at noon.
Brace yourself.
Could be a boring morning. Any sign of it just treading water and I'm taking a break and coming back later.

The mood seems to be of gloomy resignation of interest rates staying at 5%. The BoE obsession with inflation above and beyond anything else has painted it into a corner. Even more of joke is that real personal inflation is closer to 10% than 2%, but the authorities now love to take out of their official inflation figures anything that might actually be inflationary. Data Corrupted.

Is Gordon Brown likely to be the only prime minister never to win an election?

OK, time to watch the numbers...

16 comments:

  1. TRADE
    SELL @ 5970
    BUY @ 5958.5

    BUY @ 5960.8
    SELL @ 5974.5

    SELL @ 5972

    1-min charts
    will write later...

    ReplyDelete
  2. BUY @ 5979.8

    OK, 1-min chart screws up so will ignore it now.

    So, trades so far:
    profit = +11.5
    profit = +13.7
    loss = -7.8

    total = +17.4 pts

    ReplyDelete
  3. OK here goes a slight gamble.

    FTSE to finish down > 30 pts
    BUY @ 21.5

    ReplyDelete
  4. Relieved! and stop down to 5995 just to cover the bet.

    The thing about selectively following indicators is that sometimes one can look frightfully clever... and sometimes incredibly stupid.

    It is also a huge mistake to start the day with a view - any view - just follow the numbers. Numbers are everything (Pythagoras).

    ReplyDelete
  5. The day is turning round now.

    stop down to 5980

    ReplyDelete
  6. Not every day that screwing up is so profitable. However, am aware of being a bit over-exposed on the FTSE going further down. Binary bets and options have no stops available, so the only real cover is for the FTSE Daily trade.

    STOP moved down to 5970.

    Yesterday's low was about 5930.

    ReplyDelete
  7. I don't like unpleasant rebounds.

    Stop down to 5960.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Have hung onto my luck for long enough.

    FTSE
    BUY @ 5954 to close
    profit = 5999.3 - 5954 = 45.3 pts

    FTSE Down>30
    SELL @ 31
    Profit = 31 - 21.5 = 9.5 pts

    may be rash but the Dow is rising for whatever good reason.

    Just keeping the option open.

    ReplyDelete
  9. I have no idea what's going on so am doing nothing. Of course, I don't need to have any ideas as I'm just a drone following signals.

    The 3-min chart has given us 3 good signals today, with a 4th one on-going as the FTSE rises 30 pts. Missed this last one, but also saved myself from taking the previous 3 or 4 false signals. As we head towards the NYSE open the Dow seems in a cheerful mood. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank have both kept interest rates on hold, which has drawn a bored reaction from the markets.

    TRADE
    FTSE
    SELL @ 5974.8

    ReplyDelete
  10. Who went Booo!!?
    FTSE dives 40 pts. Don't know why - don't need to know. On the assumption that it is an over-reaction or just fake news have rammed down the stop to 5960

    ... 5955

    I should just take it now, but this could just be the senseless panic we've been waiting for for a week.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Just take it!

    FTSE
    BUY @ 5944.8
    Profit = 5974.8 - 5944.8 = 30 pts
    took on 1-min bounce

    30 pts in 15 mins is not bad, not going to worry about it!

    ReplyDelete
  12. TRADE
    FTSE Down > 50 @ 22.4
    FTSE Up > 50 @ 6.3
    total 28.7

    the 1-min chart shows the FTSE having some sort of minor seizure and as I haven't a clue where it will fall here's a double bet.

    ReplyDelete
  13. TRADE
    FTSE UP>50
    SELL @ 20.3
    so will carry a loss of -8.4 until the other trade is closed.

    I'm not sure of this afternoon's story so, given that have already made 100 pts and am tired am just reducing any small losses from open trades.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Here's one for spread betting gamblers, just to liven up the last 15 mins.

    FTSE to finish Down
    BUY @ 4 pts

    ReplyDelete
  15. OK, was only interesting for 3 mins as was briefly in profit.

    Total for today is +89.8

    I will be away tomorrow, and possibly Monday, so no Trading Day entries.

    It took 3 days for the FTSE to fall through 6000 and we're now looking at 3 days trying break through it from below. I'll probably be missing a peach of a day Friday - there will be others.

    au revoir!

    ReplyDelete

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